Saturday, October 30, 2010

Optimism Supreme Or Vision Extra Ordinaire?



As late as today, 30th of October and 3 days from election day, Karen Finney on MSNBC with Alex Witt:

"I don't think democrates are going to lose the house. And if they will, it will be close"

That is a very bold prediction and resembles the one by MJ, USPolling analyst made a few days back on these posts. USPolling's PM is the only third person we are able to track who shares the same belief.

Almost every other poll out there predicts a much bigger loss of 55 or more seats for house for democrates.

The Daily Beast (taking republicans from current 178 to 224 seats with a net gain of 46), Cook ( net gain 50-60 or more), Rothenberg ( at least 55 to 65), Real Clear politics ( 46 seats with 40 more in play) and lastly, Lary Sabato at University of Virgina Center For Politics ( 55 plus).

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